CNN data analyst Harry Enten has struck again, warning Vice President Kamala Harris that she is in danger of taking her slim lead in the polls for granted.
Asked by anchor John Berman to “put some meat on the bones” in regard to a recent New York Times/Sienna poll showing former President Donald Trump with a one-point lead, Enten reiterated that Harris’s honeymoon run among Americas has “vanished” since last month’s high-profile Democratic National Convention. The election, he predicted, will come down to Pennsylvania, where Trump is in the lead. “What we see is a tightening race,” Enten said as he broke down the numbers.
(VOTE: Are You Supporting TRUMP Or KAMALA In November?)
One month ago, three separate nonpartisan polls showed the Democratic vice president leading her rival by 3 to 4%. Today, those same polls showed Harris and Trump tied. “This to me is part of an emerging pattern, which is in a very pivotal state – what we saw was a small Harris lead within the margin of error becoming a race that is way, way, way too close to call.” Asked by Berman just how critical Pennsylvania will be to garnering 270 electoral votes, Enten pointed out that political betting markets have Harris eking out a win there. But he challenged viewers to think bigger.
“Let’s take Pennsylvania out of Kamala Harris’ column and put it in Donald Trump’s column. Again, with the betting favorites having Trump take Pennsylvania, what happens when we turn Pennsylvania red? Donald Trump wins in the Electoral College, 287 electoral votes to Kamala Harris’s 251 electoral votes,” a much larger win than for Harris if she takes the state. “So that is why I say it’s pivotal,” he added.
WATCH:
CNN’s Harry Enten Sounds Alarm About Harris’ Vanishing Lead In ‘Very Pivotal’ Swing State pic.twitter.com/Nlk0Hztm7S
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 9, 2024
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With the race coming down to one state, Harris’s advisors may be kicking themselves for not choosing Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania’s popular Democratic governor, as her running mate. Insiders close to the Democrat’s campaign admitted she faced tremendous pressure from the anti-Israel left to refrain from picking a Jewish running mate out of fear that Israel would have an outsize role in a Harris-Shaprio administration. “Folks like myself thought she should have taken Josh Shapiro” who currently sits at a 59% approval rating, Enten stated. “If Kamala Harris loses in Pennsylvania, and that is the tipping state as Mr. Berman put it – the state that could put Donald Trump over the top in the Electoral College – there are going to be some real questions as to whether Kamala Harris should have chosen Josh Shapiro given how popular he is.”
Instead, Harris ultimately picked Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, a progressive midwesterner who has faced a litany of controversies since joining the ticket. The Trump-Vance campaign has scorched Walz for deserting his National Guard battalion in 2005 shortly before it deployed to Iraq and accused him of “stolen valor” by running for Congress on a military title that was rescinded after he backed out. Critics have also found that Walz falsely stated he and his wife relied on IVF to conceive, a claim they perpetuated in the wake of an Alabama court’s decision briefly outlawing the practice. Other Democrats, including Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA), have predicted that Harris will lose the must-win swing state.
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