The political betting markets have grown sour on Vice President Kamala Harris’s chances in November after players panned her Thursday interview on CNN where she struggled to explain her flip-flopping positions and relied on running mate Tim Walz to cut in at times.
Breitbart reported on the ever-changing odds which now show Harris losing to former President Donald Trump.
The vice president went from being the favorite to win with odds of 10/11 (52.4 percent) on Thursday to tied with Donald Trump on 19/20 (51.3 percent) each on Friday morning, according to the Star Sports betting company.
Over the same period, Trump’s odds of victory in November improved from 21/20 (48.8 percent) before the interview to 20/21 (51.2 percent), according to U.K. based bookmaker Betfair.
(VOTE: Are You Supporting TRUMP Or KAMALA In November?)
Thursday’s interview was the national media’s first chance to see Harris in an unscripted format taking basic questions about her campaign and qualifications to succeed President Joe Biden. Reporters have tangled with her spokesman about why she’s dodged the press after more than a month on the campaign trail, and Thursday’s interview was the culmination of weeks of promises that she would finally do so. Horse traders, it seems, were not impressed.
“Vice President Harris is now tied at 19/20 with Republican candidate Donald Trump, drifting slightly from 10/11 yesterday. The Californian had been 5/6 in recent weeks but she has failed to surge ahead of Trump in the market,” Star Sports betting analyst William Kedjanyi told Newsweek. “GOP supporters will hope Trump can now go on to tip the balance in his favor, before November’s presidential election.”
He continued, “Before Kamala Harris’ sit-down interview with CNN overnight, the Betfair Exchange market had more or less been neck and neck. While the lead in the betting has flip flopped throughout August, momentum is now with Trump and he has become the odds-on favorite again after being backed into 21/20.”
Allies of Trump have continually cited the media’s inability to estimate his levels of support among the electorate, pointing to his upset 2016 win and concern by pollsters that the industry has not solved its trouble identifying MAGA supporters. The path to 270 electoral votes relies on a number of swing states that Trump narrowly lost in 2020 including Georgia and Pennsylvania, but won four years earlier. In those instances, even some Democrats like Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) have predicted that Trump will carry their state.
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“I think if you match up Trump with Harris, and I think that’s what this is really about, and I do believe he’s going to win Pennsylvania. And I do believe it’s going to be close, but whether it’s Biden, whether it was Clinton, or whether it was with Vice President Harris I think it’s going to be very close,” the Pennsylvania Democrat said in a recent interview.
Republican pollster Frank Luntz, no fan of former President Donald Trump by any measure, believes that he is drawing a significant “silent majority” of support among blue-collar union workers that have diverged further from their liberal leadership than ever before. “I assure you that Donald Trump is doing better among the average union member – not teachers unions and not the unions for government, but everybody else – trades, people working with their hands. He’s doing better among them than any Republican has done in decades,” Luntz told CNN earlier this month. “This is not gonna be a problem for him. The union leadership is more divided from their membership, and the louder it is the greater the divides are gonna come. And in my focus groups, and this is remarkable to me, the union membership says ‘They don’t speak for me.’”
(FREE RED HAT: “Impeached. Arrested. Convicted. Shot. Still Standing”)
